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2016 Australian Open Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the official Australian Open website.

Related Content: Pre-Tournament Ratings, Post-Tournament Analysis

Predictions After:

Finals

UPSETS	Previous Round	Totals Through Prev. Round	Current Round
Upsets by Rating	Higher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches	1	63	–
Predicted Upsets	0	18	–
Actual Upsets	0	12	–
Difference	0	+6	–
Seeded Upsets	Higher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches	1	42	–
Predicted Upsets	1	14	–
Actual Upsets	1	13	–
Difference	0	+1	–

Draw Line	Seed	Player Name	2nd Round	3rd Round	Quarter Finals	Semi Finals	Finals	WIN
5		O. Anderson	✔	✔¹	✔³	✔	✔¹	✔¹
49	7	D. Karimov	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔³	–
33	6	A. De Minaur	✔	✔	✔	✔³	–	–
32	5	Y. Chung	✔	✔²	✔	✔	–	–
48	3	S. Tsitsipas	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
14		M. Purcell	✔	✔¹	✔	–	–	–
24	15	K. Raisma	✔²	✔	✔³	–	–	–
57	13	Y. Watanuki	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–
17	4	F. Auger-Aliassime	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
1	1	M. Valkusz	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
64	2	M. Kecmanovic	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
43		L. Caruana	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
53		C. Oh	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
28		T. Wu	✔	✔¹	–	–	–	–
10		E. Guell Bartrina	✔¹	✔	–	–	–	–
40	12	Y. Hossam	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
8	14	U. Humbert	✔	–	–	–	–	–
29		P. Rikl	✔	–	–	–	–	–
16	8	U. Blanch	✔	–	–	–	–	–
3		K. Sultanov	✔	–	–	–	–	–
45		C. Manda	✔	–	–	–	–	–
55		M. Siimar	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–
25	11	G. Olivieri	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
22		L. Kazakov	✔	–	–	–	–	–
42		B. Ellis	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–
35		E. Benchetrit	✔	–	–	–	–	–
37		P. Matuszewski	✔	–	–	–	–	–
61		J. Lin	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
19		T. Mu	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
60		M. Bouzige	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
52		A. Tang	✔	–	–	–	–	–
12		L. Vuradin	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
62		N. Kuhn	–	–	–	–	–	–
26		G. Blancaneaux	–	–	–	–	–	–
2		G. Moroni	–	–	–	–	–	–
23		E. Furness	–	–	–	–	–	–
6		L. Klein	–	–	–	–	–	–
13		T. Horie	–	–	–	–	–	–
50		Z. Clark	–	–	–	–	–	–
15		K. Zuk	–	–	–	–	–	–
63		R. Molleker	–	–	–	–	–	–
11		S. Cuypers	–	–	–	–	–	–
18		A. Ciurletti	–	–	–	–	–	–
54		L. Tessa	–	–	–	–	–	–
31		A. Popyrin	–	–	–	–	–	–
56	9	J. Clarke	–	–	–	–	–	–
41	16	Y. Wu	–	–	–	–	–	–
9	10	A. Lim	–	–	–	–	–	–
7		y. Tanaka	–	–	–	–	–	–
47		Z. Piros	–	–	–	–	–	–
34		C. Summaria	–	–	–	–	–	–
44		R. Noguchi	–	–	–	–	–	–
4		E. Moore	–	–	–	–	–	–
36		E. Kirkin	–	–	–	–	–	–
27		S. Jones	–	–	–	–	–	–
59		N. Khunjan	–	–	–	–	–	–
20		Y. Oliel	–	–	–	–	–	–
38		A. Aleshchev	–	–	–	–	–	–
39		R. Wrzesinski	–	–	–	–	–	–
46		R. Yang	–	–	–	–	–	–
58		C. Lo	–	–	–	–	–	–
21		A. Walton	–	–	–	–	–	–
30		D. Sumizawa	–	–	–	–	–	–
51		N. Consalvo	–	–	–	–	–	–

✔ denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player

The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.

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Page updated on Sunday, April 10, 2016 at 11:05:38 PM
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